#monthly

As we head into this month's CPI release, here's the broader inflation context traders need to understand: The "last mile" problem: Inflation dropped from 9% to 3.5% relatively smoothly as pandemic distortions unwound. The drop from 3.5% to 2.0% has proven fa…

The S&P 500 has rallied 25% from the October 2023 lows — a powerful run that has stretched valuations. Bullish case (60% probability): - Earnings season delivering consistent beats - Fed rate cut cycle beginning creates multiple expansion - Soft landing narra…

We're in a historically interesting period for Bitcoin. With the halving behind us and institutional adoption accelerating via spot ETFs, the macro setup looks similar to 2020–2021 — but with important differences. Bullish factors: - Spot Bitcoin ETF daily in…

Gold has spent three weeks consolidating between $2,340–$2,400 after the explosive rally that created the all-time high at $2,431. Bullish catalysts for next month: - FOMC turning dovish (rate cut expectations increase) - CPI printing above expectations (real…