#bitcoin
13 posts
Explore trading posts, strategies, and discussions tagged with #bitcoin on JustWolves.
Showing 13 of 13 posts tagged #bitcoin
Bitcoin Weekly Swing Analysis: Cycle Position and Price Targets
Weekly BTC swing analysis for the current market phase: Cycle position: We're approximately 8 weeks post the April 2024 halving. Historically, the 8–18 week post-halving period is characterized by choppy consolidation before the bull market acceleration begin…
On-Chain Analysis for Crypto Swing Traders: Key Metrics That Actually Work
Crypto swing trading has a unique edge unavailable in traditional markets: on-chain data. Here are the metrics that genuinely improve your swing trade timing: 1. Exchange Net Position Change Measures how much BTC/ETH is flowing IN or OUT of exchanges. Net out…
Crypto Swing Outlook: BTC Dominance Cycle and Altcoin Season Timing
Understanding where we are in the BTC Dominance cycle is critical for crypto swing traders. BTC Dominance (current: ~56%): Dominance rising = BTC outperforming altcoins = stay in BTC/ETH. Dominance falling = altcoins outperforming = rotate to large-cap alts.…
Crypto Swing Risk Management: Position Sizing for 30-50% Drawdowns
Standard forex/equity risk management doesn't translate directly to crypto without adjustment. Here's a framework built for crypto's unique volatility: Adjusting for crypto volatility: BTC's average daily volatility is ~3–5% (vs EUR/USD at 0.5–0.8%). This mea…
What's Your Current Crypto Swing Portfolio Allocation?
For active crypto swing traders, how you allocate capital across the asset class matters enormously. Some common allocation philosophies: The Bitcoin Maximalist Swing Approach: 80%+ in BTC swings, remainder in cash. Conservative but captures the primary cycl…
Crypto Halving Cycle Strategy: How to Trade the 4-Year Pattern
Bitcoin's 4-year halving cycle is the most reliable long-term pattern in crypto markets. Here's how to build a strategy around it: The cycle: 1. Post-halving accumulation (12–18 months): BTC appreciates slowly 2. Bull run (12–18 months): Parabolic move, often…
Bitcoin Monthly Outlook: Is the Bull Market Continuation On Track?
We're in a historically interesting period for Bitcoin. With the halving behind us and institutional adoption accelerating via spot ETFs, the macro setup looks similar to 2020–2021 — but with important differences. Bullish factors: - Spot Bitcoin ETF daily in…
Crypto Risk Management: Surviving 30-50% Drawdowns
Crypto is the only major asset class where 30–50% corrections happen during bull markets. Here's how to build a risk framework that survives them: 1. Position sizing: smaller than you think. In crypto, a 30% stop loss is normal. For volatile altcoins, risk 0.…
Bitcoin or Altcoins: Where Do You See the Best Risk/Reward Right Now?
With Bitcoin at/near all-time highs and many altcoins still 50–80% below their 2021 ATHs, there's an interesting risk/reward question in crypto right now. The case for Bitcoin: - Institutional adoption via ETFs creating durable demand - Less volatility (relat…
Bitcoin Technical Analysis: Weekly Structure at a Critical Juncture
Bitcoin's weekly chart shows a textbook ascending triangle pattern, with price compressing between the $68,000–$70,000 resistance zone and a series of higher lows dating back to the January low. Key levels: • Resistance: $69,000 (2021 ATH retest zone), $72,00…