Crypto Swing Outlook: BTC Dominance Cycle and Altcoin Season Timing

Understanding where we are in the BTC Dominance cycle is critical for crypto swing traders. **BTC Dominance (current: ~56%):** Dominance rising = BTC outperforming altcoins = stay in BTC/ETH. Dominance falling = altcoins outperforming = rotate to large-cap alts. **Historical cycle pattern:** Early bull market: BTC dominance rises (60–65%). Mid-bull: ETH starts outperforming. Dominance begins to fall. Late bull: Altseason — small/mid cap alts 5–20× in weeks. Dominance can drop below 45%. **Current position:** BTC dominance at 56% and rising slightly — early-to-mid bull cycle. This means BTC and ETH are the primary focus now. Altcoin season is likely 3–6 months away. **Swing trading implications:** - Now: Focus 70% of crypto capital on BTC and ETH swings - 3–4 months from now: Begin positioning in leading L1/L2 alternatives (SOL, ARB, AVAX) - Late cycle (dominance below 50%): Rotate profits into high-conviction small caps Where do you currently have your crypto swing capital deployed?